AfD eyes victory over Olaf Scholz's SPD


The Alternative for Germany (AfD), “A Political Shift in Germany” a right-wing populist party, is gaining momentum and setting its sights on overtaking the Social Democratic Party (SPD), led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz. This political development signals a potential shift in Germany’s political landscape, where the far-right AfD is aiming to secure victories in upcoming elections.

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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, seen here on the campaign trail in Werder, Brandenburg, this week<!-- -->

The far right could be on the brink of its first election victory in a state known as the bastion of Germany’s social democrats.

AfD Eyes Victory Over Olaf Scholz’s SPD: A Political Shift in Germany

Brandenburg, close to Berlin, has been governed by Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) ever since German reunification.

But two million voters are heading to the polls on Sunday for a tightly fought regional election that Alternativ für Deutschland (AfD) stands a chance of winning.

It would add to the AfD’s recent election successes – and prove a major embarrassment for Scholz, who lives in the state’s capital, Potsdam.

Such a result, while far from certain, would cast further doubts on Scholz’s ability to lead the party into next year’s federal elections, where he hopes for a second term despite a slump in his approval ratings.

The AfD became the first far-right party to win a state election in Germany since World War Two, in the eastern state of Thuringia, on 1 September and came a narrow second in Saxony on the same day.

The group, officially classified “extremist” in some states, would be unlikely to enter regional government if it were to win in Brandenburg, as every other party has refused to work with it.

Polls close in Brandenburg at 18:00 (1600 GMT) and the first exit polls and preliminary projections will be announced as soon as voting ends.

Symbolic victory – and headache for Scholz

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The AfD has been bolstering its support at rallies in multiple states<!-- -->

The AfD did not win a majority in Thuringia or Saxony and is unlikely to do so in Brandenburg either.

But it would be a symbolic victory, as the AfD continues to capitalise on worries over an economic slowdown, immigration and the Ukraine war – concerns that resonate strongly in the formerly Communist eastern Germany.

Rising Popularity of AfD

Brandenburg is the SPD’s traditional stronghold – it has won elections in the sparsely populated state since East and West Germany were reunified in 1990.

Its popular SPD premier, Dietmar Woidke, has mostly shunned campaigning with Scholz and is critical of his ruling coalition’s behaviour and policies.

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AfD candidate for the Brandenburg election Hans-Christoph Berndt casts his vote <!-- -->

Scholz, meanwhile, called earlier this month on other parties to block the “right-wing extremist” AfD from office by maintaining a so-called firewall against it.

The chancellor, an SPD member and former leader, described the results in Thuringia and Saxony as “bitter” and “worrying”.

Hans-Christoph Berndt, the AfD candidate for Brandenburg state premier, cast his ballot in the town of Golssen, south of Berlin on Sunday and said the party had seen growing support since the last state election in 2019.

Bolstered by youth support, the AfD has been narrowly leading the SPD in the polls – but more than a quarter of voters are estimated to be undecided.

SPD Under Pressure

The Alternative for Germany (AfD), a right-wing populist party, is gaining momentum and setting its sights on overtaking the Social Democratic Party (SPD), led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz. This political development signals a potential shift in Germany’s political landscape, where the far-right AfD is aiming to secure victories in upcoming elections.

In recent months, the AfD has experienced a surge in support, particularly in eastern Germany. Economic concerns, dissatisfaction with government policies on immigration, and increasing energy prices have fueled discontent among voters, leading to growing support for AfD’s nationalistic and anti-immigration stance. Polls indicate that the AfD is now the second-strongest party in some regions, challenging the dominance of the SPD and the traditional parties.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SPD, which has historically been a dominant force in German politics, now faces increasing pressure from the AfD. The SPD’s handling of key issues such as inflation, energy crisis management, and immigration policies has led to criticism from both the public and opposition parties. As the SPD grapples with these challenges, the AfD is capitalizing on the opportunity to present itself as a viable alternative.

Implications for German Politics

If the AfD continues to gain ground, it could disrupt the traditional balance of power in Germany. While the SPD remains a key player, the rise of the AfD could shift political dynamics, particularly in future elections. The AfD’s victory over SPD would represent a significant change, highlighting the evolving concerns of German voters and the growing appeal of far-right politics.

As Germany prepares for upcoming elections, all eyes are on how these developments will unfold and whether the AfD will secure a breakthrough.

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